deferred revenue featured image
Financial Statement Analysis

Deferred Revenue: What It Is and How to Plan for It

7 mins

Deferred revenue can be tricky. You’ve got cash in the bank, but you can’t count it as revenue just yet. Spend it too soon, and you might run into cash flow problems. Recognize it too early, and you’re messing with your financial reports.

A lot of people outside finance assume it is just extra money to use. It’s not. It comes with obligations, and if you don’t manage it carefully, it can throw off your forecasts and even get you into trouble with ASC 606 compliance.

 

Read: A Complete Guide to Financial Statement Analysis for Strategy Makers

 

This guide breaks it down in a way that actually makes sense. We’ll cover what deferred revenue is, how it affects your cash flow and planning, and how to manage it the right way. Plus, real-world examples and practical strategies to help you stay ahead.

What Is Deferred Revenue?

Deferred revenue is money a company gets before delivering a product or service. Since the company hasn’t earned it yet, it shows up as a liability on the balance sheet.

Why Is It a Liability?

If customers pay upfront, the company still owes them something. Until it delivers, the money isn’t truly earned. If the business fails to provide the product or service, it may have to refund customers or offer something extra at no charge.

Accrued Revenue vs. Deferred Revenue

Deferred revenue has a direct opposite: accrued revenue.

  • Deferred revenue = The company gets paid before delivering.
  • Accrued revenue = The company delivers before getting paid.
accrued revene vs deferred revenue

A consulting firm that finishes a project but hasn’t been paid yet records accrued revenue. A SaaS company that sells an annual plan upfront records deferred revenue.

 

Want a deeper look at accrued revenue? Check out Accrued Revenue 101 – Everything You Need to Know.

Examples of Deferred Revenue in Key Industries

 

Here’s how deferred revenue works in three major industries:

  • SaaS – Microsoft 365 sells annual software licenses but recognizes revenue month by month as the service runs.
  • Manufacturing – Tesla collects deposits on custom orders and records them as deferred revenue until the car is delivered.
  • Professional Services – PwC charges retainer fees upfront but only recognizes revenue as consulting work gets done.

How Deferred Revenue Affects Cash Flow & Planning

Deferred revenue might be an accounting entry, but it affects cash flow, budgeting, and financial planning every day. If you don’t manage it right, you could run out of cash, mess up forecasts, or create compliance problems.

Short-Term vs. Long-Term Liabilities

Not all deferred revenue is the same.

 

  • Short-term deferred revenue (under 12 months) comes from subscriptions, prepaid services, and deposits. It’s predictable and usually recognized quickly.
  • Long-term deferred revenue (over 12 months) is trickier. It shows up in multi-year contracts, large manufacturing orders, and milestone-based projects.
 

Holding too much cash for too long can make a company look more profitable than it really is. Investors and executives might see high cash balance, but in reality, that money isn’t earned yet.

Cash Flow Problems

Just because a company has cash doesn’t mean it can spend it. Deferred revenue is already committed to future costs.

Example: A SaaS company collects $1M in annual subscriptions in January but can’t recognize it all at once. If leadership assumes that cash is available, they might hire too fast or overspend, only to struggle later when the revenue isn’t fully recognized.

Finance teams deal with this constantly. In fast-growing companies, executives often push for aggressive expansion after a big influx of cash. FP&A teams have to explain that deferred revenue isn’t profit, it’s an obligation. Companies that ignore this often spend money they haven’t truly earned and end up with cash shortages.

Forecasting and Budgeting Issues

Revenue recognition must align with expenses, otherwise, budgets won’t reflect reality. Deferred revenue makes forecasting harder because revenue recognition and cash inflows don’t happen at the same time.

Example: A construction firm gets a 50% upfront payment on a project. If they don’t budget carefully, they could run out of cash before the project is finished, causing delays and financial stress.

An example of a waterfall chart.

To avoid these problems, many FP&A teams use waterfall charts to see exactly when revenue will be recognized. Instead of just looking at cash balances, they track how deferred revenue turns into real revenue over time. This helps with hiring, cost planning, and long-term financial stability.

 

Learn more about structuring forecasts effectively: Budgeting vs. Forecasting – Key Differences and When to Use Each.

5 Common Challenges in Managing Deferred Revenue

Even when companies handle it correctly, it can still create cash flow problems, inaccurate forecasts, and compliance risks. Here are the biggest challenges finance teams deal with.

5 biggest problems companies face with deferred revenue: recognizing revenue too soon, spending money that isn't earned yet, compliance mistakes, looking more profitable than you are, bad forecasting

1. Recognizing Revenue Too Soon

Deferred revenue can’t be counted as real revenue until the company delivers what was promised. When businesses recognize it too early, financial reports become misleading, and compliance issues follow.

Example: A SaaS company bills customers yearly but records the full payment as revenue upfront instead of spreading it across 12 months. This inflates earnings and violates ASC 606.

2. Spending Money That Isn’t Earned Yet

As we already mentioned, just because the cash is there doesn’t mean it’s free to spend. Companies that don’t account for future obligations often overspend after large upfront payments, leaving them short on cash later.

Example: An airline sells tickets months in advance but spends too aggressively. When fuel prices rise unexpectedly, it struggles to cover costs.

3. Compliance Mistakes

Companies must recognize revenue only when they’ve met their obligations, but tracking this across contracts, milestones, or subscriptions can get messy. A lack of clear tracking often leads to financial restatements or regulatory issues.

Example: Tesla collects payments for its Full Self-Driving package but can’t recognize that revenue until key features are delivered.

4. Looking More Profitable Than You Are

A company with a high deferred revenue balance might look like it’s doing great, but that money still has obligations tied to it. If leadership or investors don’t realize this, they might assume the business has more real revenue than it actually does.

Example: A software company reports $20M in deferred revenue, but because of high costs, its actual profit margin is much lower than it seems.

5. Bad Forecasting

As we mentioned earlier, cash inflows and revenue recognition don’t always line up. If finance teams don’t track this properly, budgets and revenue forecasts can be way off.

Example: A manufacturing company signs a $10M contract but won’t recognize all of it immediately. If leadership assumes that money is fully available, they might approve expenses too early, leading to budget shortfalls.

Learn more about tracking financial stability: Liquidity and Solvency Ratios – How to Assess Financial Health.

How to Manage Deferred Revenue

Handling deferred revenue correctly isn’t just about compliance—it’s about protecting cash flow, improving forecasts, and making smarter financial decisions. Here’s how finance teams stay in control.

1. Build It into Forecasts

Many companies misjudge future revenue because they focus on cash inflows instead of when revenue is actually earned. If recognition gets delayed, financial projections can quickly become inaccurate.

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Rolling forecasts can help with deferred revenue management

Rolling forecasts help finance teams adjust for these timing differences. Instead of budgeting based on cash collected, companies track when deferred revenue will convert into recognized revenue to ensure hiring and expenses align with actual earnings. This reduces the risk of spending money too soon and avoids liquidity gaps.

2. Monitor Key Financial Metrics

This revenue can make a company look more profitable than it actually is, especially if liabilities pile up without being recognized as revenue. Finance teams track KPIs like the deferred revenue turnover ratio to measure how efficiently revenue is recognized. They also compare deferred revenue liabilities to actual recognized revenue over time to avoid hidden cash flow risks.

3. Track It Automatically with Software

Managing revenue schedules manually leads to errors and compliance risks. Many finance teams use tools like Farseer to track deferred revenue, automate forecasting, and get real-time visibility into revenue schedules. This ensures finance teams always know how deferred revenue impacts liquidity and when revenue will be recognized, reducing the risk of financial surprises.

4. Educate Non-Finance Teams on Deferred Revenue

Many executives assume deferred revenue is free cash, leading to overspending or unrealistic budget plans. Finance teams address this by including deferred revenue insights in monthly financial reports and explaining how revenue recognition schedules impact hiring, expansion, and budget decisions.

5. Plan for Liquidity Risks

If deferred revenue recognition is delayed, companies can face cash shortages that impact operations. Finance teams use scenario planning models to prepare for these risks and ensure the company has enough reserves to cover expenses if obligations take longer to fulfill. This is especially important for companies in SaaS, professional services, and other industries that rely on upfront payments but recognize revenue over time.

Conclusion

Deferred revenue affects cash flow, forecasting, and financial stability. If it’s not managed properly, companies risk overspending, liquidity issues, and compliance mistakes.

 

Finance teams need to track deferred revenue in forecasts, separate it from operating cash, and monitor key financial metrics to avoid surprises. Clear reporting and better planning help prevent misalignment between cash inflows and recognized revenue.

 

Now is the time to review how your company handles deferred revenue. 

If manual tracking slows you down, Farseer helps finance teams forecast accurately and manage deferred revenue with real-time insights.

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